Hands-on Exercise 4

Author

SMLurker

Visual Statistical Analysis

Installing and launching R packages

pacman::p_load(ggstatsplot, tidyverse)

Import Data

exam <- read.csv("data/Exam_data.csv")

One-sample test: gghistostats() method

In the code chunk below, gghistostats() is used to to build an visual of one-sample test on English scores.

Default information: - statistical details - Bayes Factor - sample sizes - distribution summary

set.seed(1234)

gghistostats(
  data = exam,
  x = ENGLISH,
  type = "bayes",
  test.value = 60,
  xlab = "English scores"
)

Two-sample mean test: ggbetweenstats()

In the code chunk below, ggbetweenstats() is used to build a visual for two-sample mean test of Maths scores by gender.

Default information: - statistical details - Bayes Factor - sample sizes - distribution summary

ggbetweenstats(
  data = exam,
  x = GENDER, 
  y = MATHS,
  type = "np",
  messages = FALSE
)

Oneway ANOVA Test: ggbetweenstats() method

In the code chunk below, ggbetweenstats() is used to build a visual for One-way ANOVA test on English score by race.

 “ns” → only non-significant
 “s” → only significant
 “all” → everything
ggbetweenstats(
  data = exam,
  x = RACE, 
  y = ENGLISH,
  type = "p",
  mean.ci = TRUE, 
  pairwise.comparisons = TRUE, 
  pairwise.display = "s",
  p.adjust.method = "fdr",
  messages = FALSE
)

Significant Test of Correlation: ggscatterstats()

In the code chunk below, ggscatterstats() is used to build a visual for Significant Test of Correlation between Maths scores and English scores.

ggscatterstats(
  data = exam,
  x = MATHS,
  y = ENGLISH,
  marginal = FALSE,
  )

Significant Test of Association (Depedence) : ggbarstats() methods

In the code chunk below, the Maths scores is binned into a 4-class variable by using cut().

exam1 <- exam %>% 
  mutate(MATHS_bins = 
           cut(MATHS, 
               breaks = c(0,60,75,85,100))
)

In this code chunk below ggbarstats() is used to build a visual for Significant Test of Association

ggbarstats(exam1, 
           x = MATHS_bins, 
           y = GENDER)

Installing and loading the required libraries for Visualising Models

pacman::p_load(readxl, performance, parameters, see)

Importing Excel file: readxl methods

In the code chunk below, read_xls() of readxl package is used to import the data worksheet of ToyotaCorolla.xls workbook into R. Notice that the output object car_resale is a tibble data frame.

car_resale <- read_xls("data/ToyotaCorolla.xls", 
                       "data")
car_resale
# A tibble: 1,436 × 38
      Id Model    Price Age_08_04 Mfg_Month Mfg_Year     KM Quarterly_Tax Weight
   <dbl> <chr>    <dbl>     <dbl>     <dbl>    <dbl>  <dbl>         <dbl>  <dbl>
 1    81 TOYOTA … 18950        25         8     2002  20019           100   1180
 2     1 TOYOTA … 13500        23        10     2002  46986           210   1165
 3     2 TOYOTA … 13750        23        10     2002  72937           210   1165
 4     3  TOYOTA… 13950        24         9     2002  41711           210   1165
 5     4 TOYOTA … 14950        26         7     2002  48000           210   1165
 6     5 TOYOTA … 13750        30         3     2002  38500           210   1170
 7     6 TOYOTA … 12950        32         1     2002  61000           210   1170
 8     7  TOYOTA… 16900        27         6     2002  94612           210   1245
 9     8 TOYOTA … 18600        30         3     2002  75889           210   1245
10    44 TOYOTA … 16950        27         6     2002 110404           234   1255
# ℹ 1,426 more rows
# ℹ 29 more variables: Guarantee_Period <dbl>, HP_Bin <chr>, CC_bin <chr>,
#   Doors <dbl>, Gears <dbl>, Cylinders <dbl>, Fuel_Type <chr>, Color <chr>,
#   Met_Color <dbl>, Automatic <dbl>, Mfr_Guarantee <dbl>,
#   BOVAG_Guarantee <dbl>, ABS <dbl>, Airbag_1 <dbl>, Airbag_2 <dbl>,
#   Airco <dbl>, Automatic_airco <dbl>, Boardcomputer <dbl>, CD_Player <dbl>,
#   Central_Lock <dbl>, Powered_Windows <dbl>, Power_Steering <dbl>, …

Multiple Regression Model using lm()

The code chunk below is used to calibrate a multiple linear regression model by using lm() of Base Stats of R.

model <- lm(Price ~ Age_08_04 + Mfg_Year + KM + 
              Weight + Guarantee_Period, data = car_resale)
model

Call:
lm(formula = Price ~ Age_08_04 + Mfg_Year + KM + Weight + Guarantee_Period, 
    data = car_resale)

Coefficients:
     (Intercept)         Age_08_04          Mfg_Year                KM  
      -2.637e+06        -1.409e+01         1.315e+03        -2.323e-02  
          Weight  Guarantee_Period  
       1.903e+01         2.770e+01  

Model Diagnostic: checking for multicolinearity

In the code chunk, check_collinearity() of performance package.

check_collinearity(model)
# Check for Multicollinearity

Low Correlation

             Term  VIF     VIF 95% CI Increased SE Tolerance Tolerance 95% CI
               KM 1.46 [ 1.37,  1.57]         1.21      0.68     [0.64, 0.73]
           Weight 1.41 [ 1.32,  1.51]         1.19      0.71     [0.66, 0.76]
 Guarantee_Period 1.04 [ 1.01,  1.17]         1.02      0.97     [0.86, 0.99]

High Correlation

      Term   VIF     VIF 95% CI Increased SE Tolerance Tolerance 95% CI
 Age_08_04 31.07 [28.08, 34.38]         5.57      0.03     [0.03, 0.04]
  Mfg_Year 31.16 [28.16, 34.48]         5.58      0.03     [0.03, 0.04]
check_c <- check_collinearity(model)
plot(check_c)
Variable `Component` is not in your data frame :/

Model Diagnostic: checking normality assumption

In the code chunk, check_normality() of performance package.

model1 <- lm(Price ~ Age_08_04 + KM + 
              Weight + Guarantee_Period, data = car_resale)
check_n <- check_normality(model1)
plot(check_n)

Model Diagnostic: Check model for homogeneity of variances

In the code chunk, check_heteroscedasticity() of performance package.

check_h <- check_heteroscedasticity(model1)
plot(check_h)

Model Diagnostic: Complete check

We can also perform the complete by using check_model().

check_model(model1)

Visualising Regression Parameters: see methods

In the code below, plot() of see package and parameters() of parameters package is used to visualise the parameters of a regression model.

plot(parameters(model1))

Visualising Regression Parameters: ggcoefstats() methods

In the code below, ggcoefstats() of ggstatsplot package to visualise the parameters of a regression model.

ggcoefstats(model1, 
            output = "plot")

Visualising Uncertainty

Visualizing the uncertainty of point estimates

pacman::p_load(tidyverse, plotly, crosstalk, DT, ggdist, gganimate)
exam <- read_csv("data/Exam_data.csv")
Rows: 322 Columns: 7
── Column specification ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Delimiter: ","
chr (4): ID, CLASS, GENDER, RACE
dbl (3): ENGLISH, MATHS, SCIENCE

ℹ Use `spec()` to retrieve the full column specification for this data.
ℹ Specify the column types or set `show_col_types = FALSE` to quiet this message.

Visualizing the uncertainty of point estimates: ggplot2 methods

The code chunk below performs the followings:

 group the observation by RACE,
 computes the count of observations, mean, standard deviation and standard error of Maths by RACE, and
 save the output as a tibble data table called my_sum.
my_sum <- exam %>%
  group_by(RACE) %>%
  summarise(
    n=n(),
    mean=mean(MATHS),
    sd=sd(MATHS)
    ) %>%
  mutate(se=sd/sqrt(n-1))

Note: For the mathematical explanation, please refer to Slide 20 of Lesson 4.

Next, the code chunk below will

knitr::kable(head(my_sum), format = 'html')
RACE n mean sd se
Chinese 193 76.50777 15.69040 1.132357
Indian 12 60.66667 23.35237 7.041005
Malay 108 57.44444 21.13478 2.043177
Others 9 69.66667 10.72381 3.791438

Visualizing the uncertainty of point estimates: ggplot2 methods

The code chunk below is used to reveal the standard error of mean maths score by race.

ggplot(my_sum) +
  geom_errorbar(
    aes(x=RACE, 
        ymin=mean-se, 
        ymax=mean+se), 
    width=0.2, 
    colour="black", 
    alpha=0.9, 
    size=0.5) +
  geom_point(aes
           (x=RACE, 
            y=mean), 
           stat="identity", 
           color="red",
           size = 1.5,
           alpha=1) +
  ggtitle("Standard error of mean 
          maths score by rac")
Warning: Using `size` aesthetic for lines was deprecated in ggplot2 3.4.0.
ℹ Please use `linewidth` instead.

Visualizing the uncertainty of point estimates: ggdist methods

In the code chunk below, stat_pointinterval() of ggdist is used to build a visual for displaying distribution of maths scores by race.

exam %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = RACE, 
             y = MATHS)) +
  stat_pointinterval() +   #<<
  labs(
    title = "Visualising confidence intervals of mean math score",
    subtitle = "Mean Point + Multiple-interval plot")

exam %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = RACE, y = MATHS)) +
  stat_pointinterval(.width = 0.95,
  .point = median,
  .interval = qi) +
  labs(
    title = "Visualising confidence intervals of mean math score",
    subtitle = "Mean Point + Multiple-interval plot")
Warning in layer_slabinterval(data = data, mapping = mapping, stat =
StatPointinterval, : Ignoring unknown parameters: `.point` and `.interval`

Visualizing the uncertainty of point estimates: ggdist methods

exam %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = RACE, 
             y = MATHS)) +
  stat_pointinterval(
    show.legend = FALSE) +   
  labs(
    title = "Visualising confidence intervals of mean math score",
    subtitle = "Mean Point + Multiple-interval plot")

Visualizing the uncertainty of point estimates: ggdist methods

In the code chunk below, stat_gradientinterval() of ggdist is used to build a visual for displaying distribution of maths scores by race.

exam %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = RACE, 
             y = MATHS)) +
  stat_gradientinterval(   
    fill = "skyblue",      
    show.legend = TRUE     
  ) +                        
  labs(
    title = "Visualising confidence intervals of mean math score",
    subtitle = "Gradient + interval plot")

Visualising Uncertainty with Hypothetical Outcome Plots (HOPs)

Step 1: Installing ungeviz package

devtools::install_github("wilkelab/ungeviz")
Skipping install of 'ungeviz' from a github remote, the SHA1 (aeae12b0) has not changed since last install.
  Use `force = TRUE` to force installation

Note: You only need to perform this step once.

Step 2: Launch the application in R

library(ungeviz)
ggplot(data = exam, 
       (aes(x = factor(RACE), y = MATHS))) +
  geom_point(position = position_jitter(
    height = 0.3, width = 0.05), 
    size = 0.4, color = "#0072B2", alpha = 1/2) +
  geom_hpline(data = sampler(25, group = RACE), height = 0.6, color = "#D55E00") +
  theme_bw() + 
  # `.draw` is a generated column indicating the sample draw
  transition_states(.draw, 1, 3)
Warning in geom_hpline(data = sampler(25, group = RACE), height = 0.6, color =
"#D55E00"): Ignoring unknown parameters: `height`
Warning: Using the `size` aesthetic in this geom was deprecated in ggplot2 3.4.0.
ℹ Please use `linewidth` in the `default_aes` field and elsewhere instead.

Visualising Uncertainty with Hypothetical Outcome Plots (HOPs)

ggplot(data = exam, 
       (aes(x = factor(RACE), 
            y = MATHS))) +
  geom_point(position = position_jitter(
    height = 0.3, 
    width = 0.05), 
    size = 0.4, 
    color = "#0072B2", 
    alpha = 1/2) +
  geom_hpline(data = sampler(25, 
                             group = RACE), 
              height = 0.6, 
              color = "#D55E00") +
  theme_bw() + 
  transition_states(.draw, 1, 3)
Warning in geom_hpline(data = sampler(25, group = RACE), height = 0.6, color =
"#D55E00"): Ignoring unknown parameters: `height`

Funnel Plots for Fair Comparisons

Installing and Launching R Packages

pacman::p_load(tidyverse, FunnelPlotR, plotly, knitr)

Importing Data

In this section, COVID-19_DKI_Jakarta will be used. The data was downloaded from Open Data Covid-19 Provinsi DKI Jakarta portal. For this hands-on exercise, we are going to compare the cumulative COVID-19 cases and death by sub-district (i.e. kelurahan) as at 31st July 2021, DKI Jakarta

covid19 <- read_csv("data/COVID-19_DKI_Jakarta.csv") %>%
  mutate_if(is.character, as.factor)
Rows: 267 Columns: 7
── Column specification ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Delimiter: ","
chr (3): City, District, Sub-district
dbl (4): Sub-district ID, Positive, Recovered, Death

ℹ Use `spec()` to retrieve the full column specification for this data.
ℹ Specify the column types or set `show_col_types = FALSE` to quiet this message.

FunnelPlotR methods: The basic plot

funnel_plot(
  numerator = covid19$Positive,
  denominator = covid19$Death,
  group = covid19$`Sub-district`
)

A funnel plot object with 267 points of which 0 are outliers. 
Plot is adjusted for overdispersion. 

Things to learn from the code chunk above.

 group in this function is different from the scatterplot. Here, it defines the level of the points to be plotted i.e. Sub-district, District or City. If Cityc is chosen, there are only six data points.
 By default, data_typeargument is “SR”.
 limit: Plot limits, accepted values are: 95 or 99, corresponding to 95% or 99.8% quantiles of the distribution.

FunnelPlotR methods: Makeover 1

funnel_plot(
  numerator = covid19$Death,
  denominator = covid19$Positive,
  group = covid19$`Sub-district`,
  data_type = "PR",     #<<
  xrange = c(0, 6500),  #<<
  yrange = c(0, 0.05)   #<<
)
Warning: The `xrange` argument deprecated; please use the `x_range` argument
instead.  For more options, see the help: `?funnel_plot`
Warning: The `yrange` argument deprecated; please use the `y_range` argument
instead.  For more options, see the help: `?funnel_plot`

A funnel plot object with 267 points of which 7 are outliers. 
Plot is adjusted for overdispersion. 

Things to learn from the code chunk above. + data_type argument is used to change from default “SR” to “PR” (i.e. proportions). + xrange and yrange are used to set the range of x-axis and y-axis

FunnelPlotR methods: Makeover 2

funnel_plot(
  numerator = covid19$Death,
  denominator = covid19$Positive,
  group = covid19$`Sub-district`,
  data_type = "PR",   
  xrange = c(0, 6500),  
  yrange = c(0, 0.05),
  label = NA,
  title = "Cumulative COVID-19 Fatality Rate by Cumulative Total Number of COVID-19 Positive Cases", #<<           
  x_label = "Cumulative COVID-19 Positive Cases", #<<
  y_label = "Cumulative Fatality Rate"  #<<
)
Warning: The `xrange` argument deprecated; please use the `x_range` argument
instead.  For more options, see the help: `?funnel_plot`
Warning: The `yrange` argument deprecated; please use the `y_range` argument
instead.  For more options, see the help: `?funnel_plot`

A funnel plot object with 267 points of which 7 are outliers. 
Plot is adjusted for overdispersion. 

Things to learn from the code chunk above.

 label = NA argument is to removed the default label outliers feature.
 title argument is used to add plot title.
 x_label and y_label arguments are used to add/edit x-axis and y-axis titles.

Computing the basic derived fields

df <- covid19 %>%
  mutate(rate = Death / Positive) %>%
  mutate(rate.se = sqrt((rate*(1-rate)) / (Positive))) %>%
  filter(rate > 0)
fit.mean <- weighted.mean(df$rate, 1/df$rate.se^2)

Calculate lower and upper limits for 95% and 99.9% CI

number.seq <- seq(1, max(df$Positive), 1)
number.ll95 <- fit.mean - 1.96 * sqrt((fit.mean*(1-fit.mean)) / (number.seq)) 
number.ul95 <- fit.mean + 1.96 * sqrt((fit.mean*(1-fit.mean)) / (number.seq)) 
number.ll999 <- fit.mean - 3.29 * sqrt((fit.mean*(1-fit.mean)) / (number.seq)) 
number.ul999 <- fit.mean + 3.29 * sqrt((fit.mean*(1-fit.mean)) / (number.seq)) 
dfCI <- data.frame(number.ll95, number.ul95, number.ll999, 
                   number.ul999, number.seq, fit.mean)

Plotting a static funnel plot

p <- ggplot(df, aes(x = Positive, y = rate)) +
  geom_point(aes(label=`Sub-district`), 
             alpha=0.4) +
  geom_line(data = dfCI, 
            aes(x = number.seq, 
                y = number.ll95), 
            size = 0.4, 
            colour = "grey40", 
            linetype = "dashed") +
  geom_line(data = dfCI, 
            aes(x = number.seq, 
                y = number.ul95), 
            size = 0.4, 
            colour = "grey40", 
            linetype = "dashed") +
  geom_line(data = dfCI, 
            aes(x = number.seq, 
                y = number.ll999), 
            size = 0.4, 
            colour = "grey40") +
  geom_line(data = dfCI, 
            aes(x = number.seq, 
                y = number.ul999), 
            size = 0.4, 
            colour = "grey40") +
  geom_hline(data = dfCI, 
             aes(yintercept = fit.mean), 
             size = 0.4, 
             colour = "grey40") +
  coord_cartesian(ylim=c(0,0.05)) +
  annotate("text", x = 1, y = -0.13, label = "95%", size = 3, colour = "grey40") + 
  annotate("text", x = 4.5, y = -0.18, label = "99%", size = 3, colour = "grey40") + 
  ggtitle("Cumulative Fatality Rate by Cumulative Number of COVID-19 Cases") +
  xlab("Cumulative Number of COVID-19 Cases") + 
  ylab("Cumulative Fatality Rate") +
  theme_light() +
  theme(plot.title = element_text(size=12),
        legend.position = c(0.91,0.85), 
        legend.title = element_text(size=7),
        legend.text = element_text(size=7),
        legend.background = element_rect(colour = "grey60", linetype = "dotted"),
        legend.key.height = unit(0.3, "cm"))
Warning in geom_point(aes(label = `Sub-district`), alpha = 0.4): Ignoring
unknown aesthetics: label
p

Interactive Funnel Plot: plotly + ggplot2

fp_ggplotly <- ggplotly(p,
  tooltip = c("label", 
              "x", 
              "y"))
fp_ggplotly